Cost update – 3 years and 117,000 km

Time for another electric vehicle (EV) total cost of ownership (TCO) update for my 2014 Nissan Leaf SL.  This is the seventh in a series – the earlier posts can be found at the “Cost Info Posts” page.  I’ve now crossed over 122,500 km at this time of writing, of which I had hit about 117,000 km at the 3 year mark 7 weeks ago.

Summary

Quick annual summary table is shown below (click images to enlarge):

Skip towards the end of the post for some snippets of items I found interesting in the EV world in the past 6 months – if you want more details on cost breakdown, keep reading from here.

 

Details

The more detailed cost info breakdown table is below:

Steady as it goes – the savings over a conventional ICE or Prius continue to mount, though at a slower rate in the last 6 months than the previous one, because the regular maintenance intervals for the gasmobiles were cheaper this period.  That will change in the next 6 month interval and the LEAF will stretch out its lead further.  Read the first post in this series for an explanation on the comparisons I’ve made.

Below is a graph of the cost journey thus far, plus forecasting based on the previous period:

Eagle-eye regular viewers will note that the spread is a bit higher in this version of the chart then the previous update – that is a limitation of my “basic” forecasting spreadsheet which only looks at the previous 6 months of costs, and during the 2 yr to 2.5 yr period, there was a few fairly expensive regular maintenance visits for the gasser vs what would have occurred during the 2.5 yr to 3 yr period.  Sorry, I haven’t bothered to fix this wrinkle, but using a crystal ball for the future is always subject to error bounds of some kind!

Battery replacement I’ve still left as sometime after 4 years of ownership.  At that point, I’ll be over 160,000 km, and as you can see, the cost will temporarily put the LEAF more expensive on a cumulative basis “to-date”, but the odds are in the LEAF’s favour for long term lower TCO.

From the last report:

“In my last cost update, I relayed how I had started checking my battery capacity with a phone app and an OBDII interface.  I’ve continued to collect data over the intervening year, and I’ve since moved my expected battery refit back a year.  Really though, that would likely be based out of ease of convenience, I’ll still be able to get to work with a battery at 75% capacity, which I likely won’t see until after owning the car for several years.  By that time we’ll have replaced the Forester with a long-range EV (like a Tesla Model Y), and the Leaf will only have town duty.  I doubt we’ll ever replace the battery on it.

So despite the high upfront cost and the total lack of incentives when I purchased the vehicle, I still expect it to save a significant amount of money over the life of the vehicle.”

Above comments still stand – and of course if you used an incentive that is available in BC, ON or QC, you’d be ahead already!

End of cost report.

Addendum 1 – Interesting news of note in the past 6 months:

My boys and I spent most of a day with a film crew with our LEAF as the main “actor” for a video spot to launch an info campaign for the Accelerate Kootenays project, which will put 40 Level 2 chargers around the East and West Kootenays, plus an additional 13 DC fast charger units!  The first was operational in early April in Cranbrook, and a few more should be installed by end of 2017, with the remainder installed in 2018.

Nelson picked up 4 new Level 2 chargers this period, so I’m no longer the only public charger in town haha 🙂  Come visit!

On that note, I also posted a nice video of a lovely circle tour from Nelson – check it out, then come here and do it yourself!

I added a link to Patreon that will helpfully help support the hosting costs for this site to keep it live.  A buck a month for a few months from anyone who finds value in the content will keep the site going for others to learn from as well.  Please consider 🙂

In March, I was able to test drive a brand-new Chevrolet Bolt – great car!  If I didn’t already own a Leaf (which covers the daily commute), I’d be seriously considering one.

But, Nissan isn’t far behind with offering a new long-range car; the next version will be announced in September 2017!

There are confirmed BEV CUVs coming in 2018!  Hyundai has announced one, and so has sister company Kia.

And lastly, I did a repeat of my initial trip from Vancouver in 2014 when I bought the Leaf and drove it home; in early May 2017 I drove out to Vancouver and back.  I’m planning to put up a post showing the differences, and what the next generation of EVs is going to mean when combined with the forthcoming Accelerate Kootenays project (hint:  your excuses for not buying an EV and replacing your pollution-mobile are soon to be gone…)

Addendum 2 – Update on the weird LeafSpy data I noticed last year…

Turns out I was right, the state of health (SOH) is varying with ambient temperature.  So during the winter, it appears that the battery is regaining “health”, but by spring it is almost back to where it left off the previous fall.  I’ll probably lose my first “capacity bar” sometime in 2017.

kootenay andrew

kootenay andrew

Andrew is an environmental engineer by day, "kid activity/school volunteer" by evening, and EV advocate / blogger in his remaining spare time.

He is very passionate about the future of energy generation & usage.He prefers bikes to cars, but acknowledges that Canadian cities have been developed primarily with cars in mind, so if we're going to drive, let's make them all EVs!(But let's get EV buses and take those where possible first.)
kootenay andrew

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kootenay andrew

Andrew is an environmental engineer by day, "kid activity/school volunteer" by evening, and EV advocate / blogger in his remaining spare time. He is very passionate about the future of energy generation & usage. He prefers bikes to cars, but acknowledges that Canadian cities have been developed primarily with cars in mind, so if we're going to drive, let's make them all EVs! (But let's get EV buses and take those where possible first.)

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